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    World Cup · kickoff 23:00
    FT 0-1
    Scotland
    Scotland
    3rd in the table
    WWWLL
    final
    0 - 1
    Morocco
    Morocco
    2nd in the table
    WWDWL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    DNB Morocco@ 1.25
    7/10
    Morocco clear favourites at 1.73 despite Scotland's strong 8/10 form. World Cup group opener context favours Morocco's quality and tournament experience. DNB Away at 1.25 offers draw protection in what could be a cagey opening match.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 2.20
    6/10
    World Cup group stage openers typically see both sides commit forward. Scotland's 8/10 form suggests attacking intent at home venue, while Morocco's away win odds imply they'll dominate possession and create chances.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 2.10
    6/10
    Scotland's 8/10 form and home venue advantage in World Cup opener suggests they'll find the net. Morocco's 6/10 form indicates defensive vulnerabilities despite favouritism, Scotland will create opportunities.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Scotland

    Form comparison

    Morocco

    4.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    5.3
    Form score: Scotland 4.0, Morocco 5.3
    1.70
    Goals scoredper game
    2.20
    Goals scored: Scotland 1.70, Morocco 2.20
    1.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    0.80
    Goals conceded: Scotland 1.30, Morocco 0.80

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Scotland
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Morocco2/5
    2/5Scotland
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Morocco1/5
    1.7Scotland
    Goals For per game
    Morocco2.2
    1.3Scotland
    Goals Against per game
    Morocco0.8
    0Scotland
    Win Streakmatches
    Morocco0
    Season averages • Scotland: 10 matches • Morocco: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Scotland
    Scotland
    Mixed4.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Solid5.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Scotland's perspective
    • 19 Jun 2026Scotland0-1Morocco
    Scotland
    Scotland
    Last 5 matches
    • 24 Jun 2026vsBrazil0-3L
    • 19 Jun 2026vsMorocco0-1L
    • 14 Jun 2026vsHaiti0-1W
    • 06 Jun 2026vsBolivia0-4W
    • 30 May 2026vsCuraçao4-1W
    Morocco
    Morocco
    Last 5 matches
    • 09 Jul 2026vsFrance2-0L
    • 04 Jul 2026vsCanada0-3W
    • 30 Jun 2026vsNetherlands1-1D
    • 24 Jun 2026vsHaiti4-2W
    • 19 Jun 2026vsScotland0-1W
    PosTeamPts
    1Brazil7
    2Morocco7
    3Scotland3
    4Haiti0
    Updated daily

    Scotland vs Morocco: form and season numbers

    Scotland take a form score of 4.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 5.3 for Morocco. Scotland have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Morocco have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Scotland average 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Morocco 2.2 and 0.8. Scotland have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Morocco in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Scotland have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Scotland sit 3rd on 3 points, Morocco 2nd on 7.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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