What we would back
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.
The market rates Stuttgart at 74%, so we are 28 points lower than the price implies.
Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Slovan Bratislava
Form comparisonStuttgart
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 21 Jan 2025Slovan Bratislava1-3VfB Stuttgart
- 10 Oct 2026vsSkalica1-1D
- 19 Sept 2026vsKomárno1-2W
- 16 Sept 2026vsNitra1-3W
- 13 Sept 2026vsŽilina3-3D
- 09 Sept 2026vsParis Saint Germain6-1L
- 10 Oct 2026vsSC Paderborn 070-2W
- 01 Oct 2026vsSpVgg Greuther Fürth5-0W
- 25 Sept 2026vs1. FC Heidenheim3-0W
- 19 Sept 2026vsBorussia Dortmund0-1L
- 12 Sept 2026vs1899 Hoffenheim2-1L
Slovan Bratislava vs Stuttgart: form and season numbers
Slovan Bratislava take a form score of 6.3 out of 10 into this Champions League fixture, against 7.6 for Stuttgart. Slovan Bratislava have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Stuttgart have 3 wins and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Slovan Bratislava average 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, Stuttgart 2.3 and 1.1. Slovan Bratislava have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Stuttgart in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Slovan Bratislava have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Slovan Bratislava sit 35th on 0 points, Stuttgart 8th on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Slovan Bratislava vs Stuttgart prediction: Stuttgart hold the control edge
Slovan Bratislava sit 35th in the Champions League table with 0 points after their opening match, a gap of 29 places and 3 points to a Stuttgart side already up to 6th. The opening round told the story in miniature: Slovan Bratislava shipped six without reply at Paris Saint Germain on 9 September 2026, while Stuttgart opened with a 3-1 home win over Viking the same night. Slovan Bratislava's goal difference of minus 5 against Stuttgart's plus 2 frames this as a mismatch on the European stage even if domestic form reads differently.
Domestically, Slovan Bratislava's underlying numbers carry more fight than the European scoreline suggests. Across their last 10 in all competitions they have scored 23 and conceded 18, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3, with goals in 9 of those 10 matches. A 3-3 draw at home to Žilina on 13 September and an 8-0 Cup rout of Slovan Nitra-Chrenová on 2 September show a side capable of putting goals together, but the same sample contains a 1-6 defeat to Paris Saint Germain and a 1-2 home loss to Zemplín Michalovce, and a clean sheet in just 1 of those 10 games points to a defence that leaks goals against anyone of real quality, European or otherwise.
Stuttgart's last 10 show 6 wins and 4 losses, 24 scored and 12 conceded, with clean sheets in 3 of those 10 and a scoring return in 8. The competitive thread is sharper than the friendlies suggest: a 3-1 home win over Viking in the Champions League on 9 September, a 4-1 beating of 1. FC Köln on 4 September, but also a 1-5 defeat away to Bayern München on 28 August and back to back Bundesliga losses to Borussia Dortmund and 1899 Hoffenheim either side of their continental win. The wins over SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Heidenheim were friendlies and carry less weight, but the shape of the competitive results, goals scored freely, occasional defensive lapses against the division's best, matches Stuttgart's season profile of 16.5 shots and 58.2 percent possession per game against Slovan Bratislava's 38.3 percent.
The only previous meeting between these two sides ended 1-3 to Stuttgart, on 21 January 2025, with both teams scoring and the match going over 2.5 goals. Form bands list both sides as strong, with Formatic's own gauge giving Stuttgart only a slight edge, but the table gap, the goals data and that single head to head result all point the same way. Slovan Bratislava's inability to keep clean sheets domestically, just 1 in 10, meets a Stuttgart attack that has found the net in 8 of its last 10, and the most likely shape is another game with goals at both ends, with Stuttgart doing enough to control the bulk of it.
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