Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Southampton
Form comparisonDerby County
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Southampton mixed, Derby County mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 11 Apr 2026Southampton2-1Derby
- 04 Oct 2025Derby1-1Southampton
- 16 Jan 2019Southampton4-4Derby
- 05 Jan 2019Derby2-2Southampton
- 18 Feb 2012Southampton4-0Derby
- 15 Oct 2011Derby1-1Southampton
- 07 Nov 2026vsPreston1-0L
- 03 Nov 2026vsWest Brom1-1D
- 31 Oct 2026vsQPR4-1W
- 24 Oct 2026vsWest Ham2-3W
- 17 Oct 2026vsBolton0-0D
- 06 Nov 2026vsBolton3-1W
- 03 Nov 2026vsNorwich0-4L
- 31 Oct 2026vsMillwall4-1L
- 24 Oct 2026vsSheffield Utd1-1D
- 17 Oct 2026vsStoke City0-1L
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Southampton vs Derby County: form and season numbers
Southampton take a form score of 7.6 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 2.0 for Derby County. Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 competitive matches, while Derby County have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Southampton average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Derby County 0.9 and 2.0. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Derby County in 0%. In their last 6 meetings Southampton have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 0. Southampton sit 7th on 24 points, Derby County 23rd on 10.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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