Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Southampton
Form comparisonDerby County
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Southampton strong, Derby County mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 11 Apr 2026Southampton2-1Derby
- 04 Oct 2025Derby1-1Southampton
- 16 Jan 2019Southampton4-4Derby
- 05 Jan 2019Derby2-2Southampton
- 18 Feb 2012Southampton4-0Derby
- 19 Sept 2026vsWrexham2-1L
- 12 Sept 2026vsBristol City4-1W
- 08 Sept 2026vsSwansea3-1W
- 05 Sept 2026vsLincoln1-1D
- 01 Sept 2026vsBirmingham1-1D
- 19 Sept 2026vsBurnley1-1D
- 12 Sept 2026vsBirmingham1-2L
- 09 Sept 2026vsWest Brom0-1L
- 05 Sept 2026vsWest Ham3-0L
- 01 Sept 2026vsPortsmouth0-2W
Southampton vs Derby County: form and season numbers
Southampton take a form score of 7.7 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 2.3 for Derby County. Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Derby County have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Southampton average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, Derby County 0.9 and 1.7. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Derby County in 10%. In their last 6 meetings Southampton have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 0. Southampton sit 13th on 10 points, Derby County 22nd on 5.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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