Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Southampton
Form comparisonMiddlesbrough
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Southampton mixed, Middlesbrough mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 12 May 2026Southampton2-1Middlesbrough
- 09 May 2026Middlesbrough0-0Southampton
- 04 Jan 2026Middlesbrough4-0Southampton
- 27 Sept 2025Southampton1-1Middlesbrough
- 29 Mar 2024Southampton1-1Middlesbrough
- 23 Sept 2023Middlesbrough2-1Southampton
- 13 May 2017Middlesbrough1-2Southampton
- 11 Dec 2016Southampton1-0Middlesbrough
- 21 Apr 2012Middlesbrough2-1Southampton
- 29 Oct 2011Southampton3-0Middlesbrough
- 07 Nov 2026vsPreston1-0L
- 03 Nov 2026vsWest Brom1-1D
- 31 Oct 2026vsQPR4-1W
- 24 Oct 2026vsWest Ham2-3W
- 17 Oct 2026vsBolton0-0D
- 07 Nov 2026vsWatford0-0D
- 04 Nov 2026vsWrexham2-0L
- 31 Oct 2026vsCharlton3-0W
- 23 Oct 2026vsBolton1-5W
- 17 Oct 2026vsCardiff2-2D
Southampton vs Middlesbrough: form and season numbers
Southampton take a form score of 7.6 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 7.1 for Middlesbrough. Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 competitive matches, while Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Southampton average 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, Middlesbrough 2.2 and 1.4. Southampton have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Middlesbrough in 30%. In their last 10 meetings Southampton have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3. Southampton sit 7th on 24 points, Middlesbrough 2nd on 29.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
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