Spain

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Cape Verde

Spain is a tier-1 European side facing a Cape Verde team that has never qualified for a World Cup before. The 1.09 odds reflect overwhelming favourite status, and Spain's possession-based system should control this opener comfortably.

Despite MD1 prior favoring Under, Spain's dominance in qualifying (averaged 2.8 goals/game) and Cape Verde's weak defensive record override the historical baseline for this extreme mismatch.

Cape Verde lacks the attacking quality to breach Spain's organized defense. Spain will dominate possession and Cape Verde will sit deep with minimal threat.