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    World Cup · kickoff 17:00
    FT 0-0
    Spain
    Spain
    1st in the table
    WWWWW
    final
    0 - 0
    Cape Verde
    Cape Verde
    WDDDL
    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Home Win@ 1.09
    8/10
    Spain is a tier-1 European side facing a Cape Verde team that has never qualified for a World Cup before. The 1.09 odds reflect overwhelming favourite status, and Spain's possession-based system should control this opener comfortably.
    GoalsLoss
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.33
    7/10
    Despite MD1 prior favoring Under, Spain's dominance in qualifying (averaged 2.8 goals/game) and Cape Verde's weak defensive record override the historical baseline for this extreme mismatch.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.48
    7/10
    Cape Verde lacks the attacking quality to breach Spain's organized defense. Spain will dominate possession and Cape Verde will sit deep with minimal threat.

    Spain

    Form comparison

    Cape Verde

    10.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.7
    Form score: Spain 10.0, Cape Verde 2.7
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    1.40
    Goals scored: Spain 1.80, Cape Verde 1.40
    0.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Spain 0.30, Cape Verde 1.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    4/5Spain
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Cape Verde3/5
    0/5Spain
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Cape Verde2/5
    1.8Spain
    Goals For per game
    Cape Verde1.4
    0.3Spain
    Goals Against per game
    Cape Verde1.1
    7Spain
    Win Streakmatches
    Cape Verde0
    Season averages • Spain: 10 matches • Cape Verde: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Spain
    Spain
    Excellent10.0/10
    WWWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    4/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Cape Verde
    Cape Verde
    Poor2.7/10
    WDDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    3/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 0L from Spain's perspective
    • 15 Jun 2026Spain0-0Cape Verde Islands
    Spain
    Spain
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Jul 2026vsArgentina1-0W
    • 14 Jul 2026vsFrance0-2W
    • 10 Jul 2026vsBelgium2-1W
    • 06 Jul 2026vsPortugal0-1W
    • 02 Jul 2026vsAustria3-0W
    Cape Verde
    Cape Verde
    Last 5 matches
    • 03 Jul 2026vsArgentina3-2L
    • 27 Jun 2026vsSaudi Arabia0-0D
    • 21 Jun 2026vsUruguay2-2D
    • 15 Jun 2026vsSpain0-0D
    • 06 Jun 2026vsBermuda3-0W
    PosTeamPts
    1Spain7
    2Cape Verde Islands3
    3Uruguay2
    4Saudi Arabia2
    Updated daily

    Spain vs Cape Verde: form and season numbers

    Spain take a form score of 10.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.7 for Cape Verde. Spain have 5 wins in their last 5, while Cape Verde have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Spain average 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game, Cape Verde 1.4 and 1.1. Spain have kept a clean sheet in 70% of their matches this season, Cape Verde in 50%. In their last 1 meeting Spain have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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