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    World Cup · kickoff 17:00
    FT 4-0
    Spain
    Spain
    1st in the table
    WWWWW
    final
    4 - 0
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    4th in the table
    WDDLD
    We make it 3 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Home Win@ 1.10
    9/10
    Spain heavy favourite at 1.10 odds with superior form (5.56 vs 4.00) and scoring 2.11 GPG. Saudi Arabia at 0.8 GPG and 25.0 away odds, massive gulf in quality for World Cup opener.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.46
    8/10
    Spain averaging 2.11 GPG and priced at 1.10 to win suggests market expects comfortable margin. World Cup group stage openers often see favorites run up score for goal difference.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    No@ 1.37
    8/10
    Saudi Arabia at 0.8 GPG and facing elite opposition. Spain's defensive quality should keep clean sheet, 25.0 away odds reflect Saudi Arabia's minimal chance to score.

    Spain

    Form comparison

    Saudi Arabia

    10.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.9
    Form score: Spain 10.0, Saudi Arabia 2.9
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    0.60
    Goals scored: Spain 1.80, Saudi Arabia 0.60
    0.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.40
    Goals conceded: Spain 0.30, Saudi Arabia 1.40

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    4/5Spain
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Saudi Arabia3/5
    0/5Spain
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Saudi Arabia3/5
    1.8Spain
    Goals For per game
    Saudi Arabia0.6
    0.3Spain
    Goals Against per game
    Saudi Arabia1.4
    7Spain
    Win Streakmatches
    Saudi Arabia0
    Season averages • Spain: 10 matches • Saudi Arabia: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Spain
    Spain
    Excellent10.0/10
    WWWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    4/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    Poor2.9/10
    WDDLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Spain's perspective
    • 21 Jun 2026Spain4-0Saudi Arabia
    Spain
    Spain
    Last 5 matches
    • 19 Jul 2026vsArgentina1-0W
    • 14 Jul 2026vsFrance0-2W
    • 10 Jul 2026vsBelgium2-1W
    • 06 Jul 2026vsPortugal0-1W
    • 02 Jul 2026vsAustria3-0W
    Saudi Arabia
    Saudi Arabia
    Last 5 matches
    • 27 Jun 2026vsCape Verde Islands0-0D
    • 21 Jun 2026vsSpain4-0L
    • 15 Jun 2026vsUruguay1-1D
    • 09 Jun 2026vsSenegal0-0D
    • 05 Jun 2026vsPuerto Rico0-3W
    PosTeamPts
    1Spain7
    2Cape Verde Islands3
    3Uruguay2
    4Saudi Arabia2
    Updated daily

    Spain vs Saudi Arabia: form and season numbers

    Spain take a form score of 10.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.9 for Saudi Arabia. Spain have 5 wins in their last 5, while Saudi Arabia have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Spain average 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game, Saudi Arabia 0.6 and 1.4. Spain have kept a clean sheet in 70% of their matches this season, Saudi Arabia in 40%. In their last 1 meeting Spain have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Spain sit 1st on 7 points, Saudi Arabia 4th on 2.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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