Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Sporting Gijón weak, Las Palmas strongThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Sporting Gijón take a form score of 4.4 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 5.0 for Las Palmas. Sporting Gijón have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 competitive matches, while Las Palmas have 4 wins and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Sporting Gijón average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, Las Palmas 1.5 and 1.7. Sporting Gijón have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Las Palmas in 20%. In their last 10 meetings Sporting Gijón have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. Sporting Gijón sit 8th on 23 points, Las Palmas 11th on 20.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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