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    MLS · kickoff 01:30
    FT 3-3
    Sporting Kansas City
    Sporting Kansas City
    15th in the table
    WLWLD
    final
    3 - 3
    Portland Timbers
    Portland Timbers
    10th in the table
    DLLLD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Sporting Kansas City or Portland Timbers@ 1.22
    9/10
    The draw is the only result that beats this, and we make it 23%. Sporting Kansas City and Portland Timbers cover the other 77% between them.
    GoalsLoss
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.90
    5/10
    We make the total 3.2 goals, so Under 3.5 Goals lands 59%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 37%.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 1.33
    6/10
    We give Sporting Kansas City 80% to score and Portland Timbers 80%, so both finding the net comes out at 64%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    38%
    Sporting Kansas City
    23%
    Draw
    39%
    Portland Timbers

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 3.2 goalsWe make it 1 - 2

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.35
    X4.00
    22.58

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Sporting Kansas City

    Form comparison

    Portland Timbers

    4.4
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    2.6
    Form score: Sporting Kansas City 4.4, Portland Timbers 2.6
    1.70
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.80
    Goals scored: Sporting Kansas City 1.70, Portland Timbers 1.80
    2.20
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    2.10
    Goals conceded: Sporting Kansas City 2.20, Portland Timbers 2.10
    strong
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Sporting Kansas City strong, Portland Timbers mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Sporting Kansas City
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Portland Timbers0/5
    0/5Sporting Kansas City
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Portland Timbers1/5
    1.7Sporting Kansas City
    Goals For per game
    Portland Timbers1.8
    2.2Sporting Kansas City
    Goals Against per game
    Portland Timbers2.1
    2.0Sporting Kansas City
    Yellow Cards per game
    Portland Timbers1.4
    0.3Sporting Kansas City
    Red Cards per game
    Portland Timbers0.2
    0Sporting Kansas City
    Win Streakmatches
    Portland Timbers0
    Season averages • Sporting Kansas City: 10 matches • Portland Timbers: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Sporting Kansas City
    Sporting Kansas City
    Mixed4.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Portland Timbers
    Portland Timbers
    Poor2.6/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DLLLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 2D - 6L from Sporting Kansas City's perspective
    • 11 Oct 2026Sporting Kansas City3-3Portland Timbers
    • 10 May 2026Portland Timbers6-0Sporting Kansas City
    • 11 May 2025Portland Timbers1-0Sporting Kansas City
    • 13 Apr 2025Sporting Kansas City2-4Portland Timbers
    • 26 May 2024Portland Timbers2-1Sporting Kansas City
    Sporting Kansas City
    Sporting Kansas City
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Oct 2026vsPortland Timbers3-3D
    • 02 Oct 2026vsSeattle Sounders2-1L
    • 27 Sept 2026vsHouston Dynamo0-2W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsPhiladelphia Union3-4L
    • 13 Sept 2026vsLos Angeles FC3-1W
    Portland Timbers
    Portland Timbers
    Last 5 matches
    • 11 Oct 2026vsSporting Kansas City3-3D
    • 27 Sept 2026vsSan Jose Earthquakes3-1L
    • 20 Sept 2026vsAtlanta United FC0-1L
    • 13 Sept 2026vsFC Dallas2-1L
    • 10 Sept 2026vsSt. Louis City2-2D
    PosTeamPts
    8Colorado Rapids37
    9Los Angeles Galaxy36
    10Portland Timbers33
    11Real Salt Lake32
    12San Diego FC32
    13Austin FC31
    14Minnesota United FC30
    15Sporting Kansas City22
    1Nashville SC63
    2Inter Miami49
    Updated daily

    Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers: form and season numbers

    Sporting Kansas City take a form score of 4.4 out of 10 into this MLS fixture, against 2.6 for Portland Timbers. Sporting Kansas City have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Portland Timbers have 2 draws and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Sporting Kansas City average 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game, Portland Timbers 1.8 and 2.1. Sporting Kansas City have kept a clean sheet in 10% of their matches this season, Portland Timbers in 0%. In their last 10 meetings Sporting Kansas City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. Sporting Kansas City sit 15th on 22 points, Portland Timbers 10th on 33.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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