St Mirren welcome Dundee in a fixture that pits 3rd against 2nd in the Scottish Premiership table, the sides level on 6 points but separated by St Mirren's superior form rating. The hosts carry a weighted score of 7 out of 10 across their recent sample, compared to Dundee's 5.8 out of 10, a gap of 1.2 in favour of the home side. That gulf reflects St Mirren's clean start to the league campaign, with 2 wins from 2 yielding 3 goals scored and none conceded, an average of 1.50 scored and 0.00 conceded per game that stands as the stingiest defensive record in the early running.

Dundee arrive with 2 wins from 3 in the league, though their broader four-competition sample across 5 matches shows 3 wins and 2 losses, 8 scored and 4 conceded. Their most recent outing delivered a 2-0 win away to Dundee Utd, following a 2-0 home victory over Aberdeen and a 4-0 League Cup win against Clyde. The visitors average 1.33 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per league game, sitting second in the table but carrying a less emphatic defensive profile than their hosts. Dundee have kept clean sheets in 40 percent of their 5-match sample and failed to score in 30 percent, registering 16 shots and 5 shots on target per game alongside 1.43 expected goals.

St Mirren's recent record across all competitions shows 2 wins and 2 losses from 4, with 4 scored and 6 conceded, though the concessions came in cup defeats to Rangers (1-5) and Dunfermline (0-1). Their league fixtures tell a tighter story: a 1-0 home win over St Johnstone and a 2-0 away success at Falkirk. The hosts have scored in 3 of their last 4 and kept clean sheets in 2 of 4, averaging 4.7 shots on target, 6.3 corners and 48 percent possession per game, with 56 percent of their matches ending without conceding. They have failed to score in just 11 percent of fixtures, the lowest blank rate in this comparison.

The head to head sequence across the last 10 meetings favours Dundee by 5 wins to 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams have scored in 4 of those 10, while 5 have exceeded 2.5 goals. The most recent five itemised clashes include Dundee's 1-0 home win in May 2026, a 0-0 draw at St Mirren in January, Dundee's 3-1 home victory in November 2025, St Mirren's 1-0 home win in September 2025, and Dundee's 2-0 success in April 2025. Four of those five produced under 2.5 goals, and three saw only one side score, patterns that sit at odds with the higher-scoring aggregate across the full 10-game sample.

With St Mirren's defensive solidity meeting Dundee's mixed clean sheet and scoring rates, the data points toward a fixture decided by narrow margins. The hosts' 7 out of 10 form grade and perfect league defensive record contrast with Dundee's slightly patchier 5.8 rating and higher concession rate of 0.33 per league game. St Mirren's 1.50 goals per game in the league and 4.7 shots on target per match across all competitions suggest enough attacking substance to trouble a Dundee side that has shipped 4 goals across 5 outings. The head to head history indicates tight contests between these sides, and the current form gap suggests St Mirren hold the edge at home.