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    World Cup · kickoff 03:00
    FT 5-1
    Sweden
    Sweden
    3rd in the table
    DWLDL
    final
    5 - 1
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    4th in the table
    LLLLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    DC Sweden/Draw@ 1.21
    7/10
    Sweden home advantage and stronger qualifying form, but Tunisia's defensive discipline makes a draw plausible. DC covers both likely outcomes at safer odds than straight home win.
    GoalsLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.61
    7/10
    MD1 historical prior strongly supports Under 2.5 (59% hit rate). Tunisia will sit deep, Sweden cautious in opener, predicted 1-0 fits perfectly.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.75
    6/10
    Tunisia likely to defend deep and avoid conceding multiple goals. Sweden should score but clean sheet for one side probable in tight opener.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 1 - 0

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Sweden

    Form comparison

    Tunisia

    2.4
    Form scoreout of 10
    0.0
    Form score: Sweden 2.4, Tunisia 0.0
    1.80
    Goals scoredper game
    0.70
    Goals scored: Sweden 1.80, Tunisia 0.70
    2.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    2.30
    Goals conceded: Sweden 2.30, Tunisia 2.30

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Sweden
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Tunisia0/5
    1/5Sweden
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Tunisia3/5
    1.8Sweden
    Goals For per game
    Tunisia0.7
    2.3Sweden
    Goals Against per game
    Tunisia2.3
    0Sweden
    Win Streakmatches
    Tunisia0
    Season averages • Sweden: 10 matches • Tunisia: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Sweden
    Sweden
    Poor2.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWLDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    Poor0.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Last 5 meetings
    1W - 0D - 0L from Sweden's perspective
    • 15 Jun 2026Sweden5-1Tunisia
    Sweden
    Sweden
    Last 5 matches
    • 30 Jun 2026vsFrance3-0L
    • 25 Jun 2026vsJapan1-1D
    • 20 Jun 2026vsNetherlands5-1L
    • 15 Jun 2026vsTunisia5-1W
    • 04 Jun 2026vsGreece2-2D
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    Last 5 matches
    • 25 Jun 2026vsNetherlands1-3L
    • 21 Jun 2026vsJapan0-4L
    • 15 Jun 2026vsSweden5-1L
    • 06 Jun 2026vsBelgium5-0L
    • 01 Jun 2026vsAustria1-0L
    PosTeamPts
    1Netherlands7
    2Japan5
    3Sweden4
    4Tunisia0
    Updated daily

    Sweden vs Tunisia: form and season numbers

    Sweden take a form score of 2.4 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 0.0 for Tunisia. Sweden have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Tunisia have 5 defeats in theirs. Across the season Sweden average 1.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, Tunisia 0.7 and 2.3. Sweden have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their matches this season, Tunisia in 20%. In their last 1 meeting Sweden have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0. Sweden sit 3rd on 4 points, Tunisia 4th on 0.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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