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    Europa League · kickoff 17:45
    FT 1-2
    Torreense
    Torreense
    12th in the table
    LWDWL
    final
    1 - 2
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    15th in the table
    WLWLL

    The model's forecast cards

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Torreense or Draw@ 3.40
    6/10
    Torreense winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 63% between them. Only Sunderland winning beats it, at 37%.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.53
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 79%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 59%.
    Second goals lineLoss
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 2.30
    5/10
    We make the total 2.3 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 59%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 32%.

    Top Pick is the model's top pick: the card that stands out most against what its market usually shows in the model's own numbers. It is not a judgement on the price. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    35%
    Torreense
    28%
    Draw
    37%
    Sunderland

    The market rates Sunderland at 73%, so we are 36 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.3 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    19.61
    X5.58
    21.31

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Torreense

    Form comparison

    Sunderland

    4.1
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    4.4
    Form score: Torreense 4.1, Sunderland 4.4
    0.90
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.20
    Goals scored: Torreense 0.90, Sunderland 1.20
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.30
    Goals conceded: Torreense 1.20, Sunderland 1.30

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5Torreense
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Sunderland2/5
    3/5Torreense
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Sunderland2/5
    0.9Torreense
    Goals For per game
    Sunderland1.2
    1.2Torreense
    Goals Against per game
    Sunderland1.3
    1.5Torreense
    Yellow Cards per game
    Sunderland1.6
    0.5Torreense
    Red Cards per game
    Sunderland0.2
    0Torreense
    Win Streakmatches
    Sunderland0
    Season averages • Torreense: 10 matches • Sunderland: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Torreense
    Torreense
    Mixed4.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWDWL
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Mixed4.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WLWLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 0L from Torreense's perspective
    Torreense
    Torreense
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsTondela1-0L
    • 17 Sept 2026vsLillestrom1-2W
    • 11 Sept 2026vsLeixoes0-0D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsBenfica B0-2W
    • 29 Aug 2026vsVizela0-3L
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsBrighton0-2L
    • 20 Sept 2026vsManchester City5-3L
    • 16 Sept 2026vsAZ Alkmaar1-0W
    • 12 Sept 2026vsArsenal0-2L
    • 08 Sept 2026vsHull City1-0W
    PosTeamPts
    10Bournemouth3
    11Lyon3
    12Torreense3
    13Olympiakos Piraeus3
    14Red Bull Salzburg3
    15Sunderland3
    16Omonia Nicosia3
    17Sturm Graz1
    Updated daily

    Torreense vs Sunderland: form and season numbers

    Torreense take a form score of 4.1 out of 10 into this Europa League fixture, against 4.4 for Sunderland. Torreense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Sunderland have 2 wins and 3 defeats in theirs. Across the season Torreense average 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Sunderland 1.2 and 1.3. Torreense have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Sunderland in 40%. Torreense sit 12th on 3 points, Sunderland 15th on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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