

Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Tunisia take a form score of 0.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 4.0 for Japan. Tunisia have 5 defeats in their last 5, while Japan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Tunisia average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, Japan 1.9 and 0.7. Tunisia have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Japan in 60%. In their last 3 meetings Tunisia have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2. Tunisia sit 4th on 0 points, Japan 2nd on 5.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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