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    World Cup · kickoff 00:00
    FT 1-3
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    4th in the table
    LLLLL
    final
    1 - 3
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    1st in the table
    WDWWD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultWin
    Away Win@ 1.08
    9/10
    Massive quality gulf: Netherlands 6.44/10 form vs Tunisia 0.22/10. Tunisia averaging just 0.9 GPG while Netherlands scoring 2.5 GPG. Away odds of 1.16 reflect near-certainty.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.40
    8/10
    Netherlands averaging 2.5 GPG and Tunisia's defensive frailties (0.22 form) suggest multiple away goals. World Cup group stage typically produces goals from stronger sides.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    No@ 1.40
    8/10
    Tunisia's 0.9 GPG and dismal 0.22 form score indicate minimal attacking threat. Netherlands' defensive organization should keep them scoreless.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how the market sees it finishing
    3%
    Tunisia
    9%
    Draw
    88%
    Netherlands

    Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.

    We make it 0 - 3

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    129.00
    X11.00
    21.08

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Tunisia

    Form comparison

    Netherlands

    0.0
    Form scoreout of 10
    6.9
    Form score: Tunisia 0.0, Netherlands 6.9
    0.70
    Goals scoredper game
    2.10
    Goals scored: Tunisia 0.70, Netherlands 2.10
    2.30
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.00
    Goals conceded: Tunisia 2.30, Netherlands 1.00

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    0/5Tunisia
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Netherlands0/5
    3/5Tunisia
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Netherlands0/5
    0.7Tunisia
    Goals For per game
    Netherlands2.1
    2.3Tunisia
    Goals Against per game
    Netherlands1.0
    0Tunisia
    Win Streakmatches
    Netherlands0
    Season averages • Tunisia: 10 matches • Netherlands: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    Poor0.0/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LLLLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    2/5
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    Solid6.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WDWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    5/5
    Clean sheet
    0/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 1L from Tunisia's perspective
    • 25 Jun 2026Tunisia1-3Netherlands
    Tunisia
    Tunisia
    Last 5 matches
    • 25 Jun 2026vsNetherlands1-3L
    • 21 Jun 2026vsJapan0-4L
    • 15 Jun 2026vsSweden5-1L
    • 06 Jun 2026vsBelgium5-0L
    • 01 Jun 2026vsAustria1-0L
    Netherlands
    Netherlands
    Last 5 matches
    • 30 Jun 2026vsMorocco1-1D
    • 25 Jun 2026vsTunisia1-3W
    • 20 Jun 2026vsSweden5-1W
    • 14 Jun 2026vsJapan2-2D
    • 08 Jun 2026vsUzbekistan2-1W
    PosTeamPts
    1Netherlands7
    2Japan5
    3Sweden4
    4Tunisia0
    Updated daily

    Tunisia vs Netherlands: form and season numbers

    Tunisia take a form score of 0.0 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 6.9 for Netherlands. Tunisia have 5 defeats in their last 5, while Netherlands have 3 wins and 2 draws in theirs. Across the season Tunisia average 0.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game, Netherlands 2.1 and 1.0. Tunisia have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Netherlands in 10%. In their last 1 meeting Tunisia have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1. Tunisia sit 4th on 0 points, Netherlands 1st on 7.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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