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    World Cup · kickoff 04:00
    FT 0-1
    Türkiye
    Türkiye
    4th in the table
    WDWLD
    final
    0 - 1
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    3rd in the table
    LWDDL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    DC Türkiye/Draw@ 1.36
    6/10
    Türkiye hold slight home advantage but both sides are in underwhelming form (4.22 vs 4.67/10). Paraguay's away resilience (1.3 GPG conceded historically) suggests they won't be easily beaten. DC Home/Draw covers the two most likely outcomes at World Cup opening matches.
    GoalsWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.67
    7/10
    Combined GPG of 2.9 suggests moderate scoring but World Cup group openers are notoriously cagey. Both teams in mediocre form (4.22 and 4.67/10) points to cautious approach and low risk-taking.
    Both teams to scoreLoss
    Yes@ 1.90
    6/10
    Türkiye averaging 1.6 GPG at home and Paraguay 1.3 away suggests both have attacking capability. Opening World Cup match tension often produces trading of goals rather than shutouts.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    We make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Türkiye

    Form comparison

    Paraguay

    4.2
    Form scoreout of 10
    2.9
    Form score: Türkiye 4.2, Paraguay 2.9
    1.60
    Goals scoredper game
    1.20
    Goals scored: Türkiye 1.60, Paraguay 1.20
    1.00
    Goals concededper game, lower is better
    1.10
    Goals conceded: Türkiye 1.00, Paraguay 1.10

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Türkiye
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Paraguay2/5
    0/5Türkiye
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Paraguay2/5
    1.6Türkiye
    Goals For per game
    Paraguay1.2
    1.0Türkiye
    Goals Against per game
    Paraguay1.1
    0Türkiye
    Win Streakmatches
    Paraguay0
    Season averages • Türkiye: 10 matches • Paraguay: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Türkiye
    Türkiye
    Mixed4.2/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WDWLD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    Poor2.9/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWDDL
    Over 2.5 goals
    1/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 0L from Türkiye's perspective
    Türkiye
    Türkiye
    Last 5 matches
    • 31 Mar 2026vsItaly U191-1D
    • 30 Mar 2026vsKosovo U193-1L
    • 28 Mar 2026vsHungary U193-2W
    • 27 Mar 2026vsArmenia U191-1D
    • 25 Mar 2026vsSlovakia U190-1W
    Paraguay
    Paraguay
    Last 5 matches
    • 04 Jul 2026vsFrance0-1L
    • 29 Jun 2026vsGermany1-1D
    • 26 Jun 2026vsAustralia0-0D
    • 20 Jun 2026vsTürkiye0-1W
    • 13 Jun 2026vsUSA4-1L
    PosTeamPts
    1USA6
    2Australia4
    3Paraguay4
    4Türkiye3
    Updated daily

    Türkiye vs Paraguay: form and season numbers

    Türkiye take a form score of 4.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.9 for Paraguay. Türkiye have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Paraguay have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Türkiye average 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Paraguay 1.2 and 1.1. Türkiye have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Paraguay in 40%. Türkiye sit 4th on 3 points, Paraguay 3rd on 4.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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