

Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are below.
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Uruguay take a form score of 2.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 2.7 for Cape Verde Islands. Uruguay have 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Cape Verde Islands have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season Uruguay average 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, Cape Verde Islands 1.4 and 1.1. Uruguay have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Cape Verde Islands in 50%. In their last 1 meeting Uruguay have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 0. Uruguay sit 3rd on 2 points, Cape Verde Islands 2nd on 3.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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