The model's forecast cards
Powered by Formatic AITop Pick is the card the previous engine flagged on this match, under that engine's own rule, which has since been replaced. Every card is published before kickoff and settled in public.
Win probability from the 1X2 prices we logged, bookmaker margin removed.
Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.
How this scoreline is calculated
Uruguay
Form comparisonSpain
The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
- 27 Jun 2026Uruguay0-1Spain
- 16 Jun 2013Spain2-1Uruguay
- 27 Jun 2026vsSpain0-1L
- 21 Jun 2026vsCape Verde Islands2-2D
- 15 Jun 2026vsSaudi Arabia1-1D
- 31 Mar 2026vsAlgeria0-0D
- 27 Mar 2026vsEngland1-1D
- 19 Jul 2026vsArgentina1-0W
- 14 Jul 2026vsFrance0-2W
- 10 Jul 2026vsBelgium2-1W
- 06 Jul 2026vsPortugal0-1W
- 02 Jul 2026vsAustria3-0W
Uruguay vs Spain: form and season numbers
Uruguay take a form score of 2.2 out of 10 into this World Cup fixture, against 10.0 for Spain. Uruguay have 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Spain have 5 wins in theirs. Across the season Uruguay average 0.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game, Spain 1.8 and 0.3. Uruguay have kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches this season, Spain in 70%. In their last 2 meetings Uruguay have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2. Uruguay sit 3rd on 2 points, Spain 1st on 7.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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