Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
How this scoreline is calculated
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Valladolid mixed, Burgos mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.
The rows around these two clubs. Dots mark the clubs in between.
Valladolid take a form score of 5.6 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 6.3 for Burgos. Valladolid have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Burgos have 4 wins and 1 draw in theirs. Across the season Valladolid average 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, Burgos 1.8 and 1.1. Valladolid have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Burgos in 20%. In their last 9 meetings Valladolid have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 3. Valladolid sit 12th on 18 points, Burgos 3rd on 24.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Tomorrow's top pick, free, the moment it drops
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