

How this scoreline is calculated
Our model scores this match once both teams have enough recent form to work from, predictions publish in the days before kickoff. Form, head-to-head and season stats are available in the tabs above now.
Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.
Opposition faced: Valladolid strong, Eldense mixedThe form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.




Valladolid take a form score of 5.2 out of 10 into this Segunda Division fixture, against 2.1 for Eldense. Valladolid have 3 wins and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Eldense have 1 win and 4 defeats in theirs. Across the season Valladolid average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game, Eldense 1.0 and 2.1. Valladolid have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Eldense in 0%. In their last 2 meetings Valladolid have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0. Valladolid sit 20th on 0 points, Eldense 21st on 0.
Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.
Both sides sit rooted to the foot of the Segunda División table with 0 points from 1 match, separated only by goal difference after opening-day defeats. Valladolid occupy 20th after a 0-2 loss at Mallorca, while Eldense sit 21st following a heavier 0-3 reverse at Almeria. The home side arrive with a weighted form score of 5.2 out of 10, steady across a run that included three friendly wins before competitive action began. Eldense's 2.1 rating reflects a poor recent run, with 4 defeats from their last 5 outings across all competitions.
Valladolid have scored 11 goals and conceded 6 across their last 5 matches, though 3 of those wins came in pre-season friendlies, including a 4-2 victory at Sporting Gijon and a 3-0 success against Gimnástica Segoviana. They found the net in 3 of 5 and kept 1 clean sheet during that period. Their competitive form, however, is defined by the Mallorca defeat where they failed to register, part of a season profile showing they have failed to score in 50 percent of fixtures from a 5-match sample. Averaging 2.4 shots on target per game and recording clean sheets in 30 percent of matches, they possess modest but superior numbers to their visitors.
Eldense have managed just 5 goals and shipped 10 across the same sample period, failing to keep a single clean sheet in any of those 5 outings. Their solitary win came at home to Al-Ettifaq in a friendly, while competitive Segunda División action brought an immediate blank, beaten 0-3 at Almeria. The form gap of 3.1 in Valladolid's favour reflects a side struggling to impose themselves at both ends, conceding 3.00 goals per game in league action so far and averaging 0.00 scored.
The head to head record offers Eldense no comfort. Valladolid have won both previous meetings by 1-0 scorelines, at home in April 2024 and away in October 2023. Those fixtures averaged 1.0 goals per meeting, with neither side seeing both teams score and neither crossing the 2.5-goal line. The pattern suggests tight, low-scoring affairs, but Eldense have yet to find a route past their opponents in this fixture.
With 22 teams in the division and Andorra already on 3 points at the summit, these two need early traction. Valladolid's home advantage and steadier preparation give them the platform, while Eldense's defensive fragility and poor form suggest they will struggle to replicate even the stubborn displays that kept previous meetings to single-goal margins. The numbers point to a home win in a fixture where Eldense's blank scoring record and Valladolid's superior form band should prove decisive.
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