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    Champions League · kickoff 20:00
    FT 3-3
    Viking
    Viking
    29th in the table
    LWWWW
    final
    3 - 3
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    2nd in the table
    DWWWD

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    Bayern Munich Win@ 1.10
    Safer: Bayern Munich or draw at 1.00
    7/10
    Our three-way read is Viking 16%, the draw 18%, Bayern Munich 66%, so Bayern Munich are the likeliest single outcome.
    GoalsWin
    Over 2.5 Goals@ 1.11
    7/10
    We make the total 3.6 goals, so Over 2.5 Goals lands 71%. The next line up, Over 3.5, is 50%.
    Both teams to scoreWin
    Yes@ 1.65
    6/10
    We give Viking 68% to score and Bayern Munich 92%, so both finding the net comes out at 63%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    16%
    Viking
    18%
    Draw
    66%
    Bayern Munich

    The market rates Bayern Munich at 87%, so we are 21 points lower than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 3.7 goalsWe make it 1 - 3

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    118.52
    X11.25
    21.10

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Viking

    Form comparison

    Bayern Munich

    8.6
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    9.1
    Form score: Viking 8.6, Bayern Munich 9.1
    2.80
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    3.40
    Goals scored: Viking 2.80, Bayern Munich 3.40
    1.00
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    0.90
    Goals conceded: Viking 1.00, Bayern Munich 0.90

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    3/5Viking
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Bayern Munich3/5
    0/5Viking
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Bayern Munich1/5
    2.8Viking
    Goals For per game
    Bayern Munich3.4
    1.0Viking
    Goals Against per game
    Bayern Munich0.9
    1.4Viking
    Yellow Cards per game
    Bayern Munich0.6
    0.5Viking
    Red Cards per game
    Bayern Munich0.0
    4Viking
    Win Streakmatches
    Bayern Munich0
    Season averages • Viking: 10 matches • Bayern Munich: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Viking
    Viking
    Excellent8.6/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    LWWWW
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Excellent9.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DWWWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    2/5
    Clean sheet
    3/5
    Scored in
    4/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 0D - 0L from Viking's perspective
    Viking
    Viking
    Last 5 matches
    • 09 Oct 2026vsBrann0-2W
    • 01 Oct 2026vsMadla0-3W
    • 20 Sept 2026vsLillestrom3-0W
    • 13 Sept 2026vsKristiansund BK8-1W
    • 09 Sept 2026vsVfB Stuttgart3-1L
    Bayern Munich
    Bayern Munich
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsFC Augsburg2-2D
    • 18 Sept 2026vsUnion Berlin7-0W
    • 13 Sept 2026vsSV Elversberg1-2W
    • 10 Sept 2026vsBodo/Glimt5-0W
    • 05 Sept 2026vsFC Schalke 040-0D
    PosTeamPts
    1Paris Saint Germain3
    2Bayern Munich3
    3Barcelona3
    4Manchester United3
    27Napoli0
    28Lask Linz0
    29Viking0
    30Galatasaray0
    31FC Porto0
    Updated daily

    Viking vs Bayern Munich: form and season numbers

    Viking take a form score of 8.6 out of 10 into this Champions League fixture, against 9.1 for Bayern Munich. Viking have 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5, while Bayern Munich have 3 wins and 2 draws in theirs. Across the season Viking average 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, Bayern Munich 3.4 and 0.9. Viking have kept a clean sheet in 30% of their matches this season, Bayern Munich in 30%. Viking sit 29th on 0 points, Bayern Munich 2nd on 3.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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