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    Championship · kickoff 12:30
    FT 0-1
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    7th in the table
    WWDLL
    final
    0 - 1
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    6th in the table
    DLWDW

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultLoss
    West Bromwich Albion or Draw@ 1.40
    7/10
    West Bromwich Albion winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 71% between them. Only Birmingham City winning beats it, at 29%.
    GoalsWin
    Under 3.5 Goals@ 1.29
    9/10
    Under 3.5 Goals lands 79%. The line below, Under 2.5, is 59%.
    Second goals lineWin
    Under 2.5 Goals@ 1.76
    5/10
    We make the total 2.3 goals, so Under 2.5 Goals lands 59%. The line below, Under 1.5, is 32%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    43%
    West Bromwich Albion
    28%
    Draw
    29%
    Birmingham City

    The market rates West Bromwich Albion at 38%, so we are 5 points higher than the price implies.

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.3 goalsWe make it 1 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.50
    X3.25
    22.85

    How this scoreline is calculated

    West Bromwich Albion

    Form comparison

    Birmingham City

    4.1
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    5.4
    Form score: West Bromwich Albion 4.1, Birmingham City 5.4
    1.20
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.40
    Goals scored: West Bromwich Albion 1.20, Birmingham City 1.40
    1.20
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.70
    Goals conceded: West Bromwich Albion 1.20, Birmingham City 1.70
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: West Bromwich Albion mixed, Birmingham City mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    2/5West Bromwich Albion
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    Birmingham City1/5
    2/5West Bromwich Albion
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    Birmingham City0/5
    1.2West Bromwich Albion
    Goals For per game
    Birmingham City1.4
    1.2West Bromwich Albion
    Goals Against per game
    Birmingham City1.7
    2.1West Bromwich Albion
    Yellow Cards per game
    Birmingham City2.4
    0.2West Bromwich Albion
    Red Cards per game
    Birmingham City0.0
    0West Bromwich Albion
    Win Streakmatches
    Birmingham City1
    Season averages • West Bromwich Albion: 10 matches • Birmingham City: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    Mixed4.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    0/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Solid5.4/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DLWDW
    Over 2.5 goals
    4/5
    BTTS
    4/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    5/5
    Last 5 meetings
    2W - 2D - 6L from West Bromwich Albion's perspective
    • 10 Oct 2026West Brom0-1Birmingham
    • 10 Feb 2026Birmingham0-0West Brom
    • 26 Nov 2025West Brom1-1Birmingham
    • 03 Aug 2024Birmingham4-1West Brom
    • 03 Feb 2024West Brom1-0Birmingham
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsBirmingham0-1L
    • 20 Sept 2026vsWolves1-0L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsQPR1-1D
    • 09 Sept 2026vsDerby0-1W
    • 05 Sept 2026vsWatford1-0W
    Birmingham City
    Birmingham City
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsWest Brom0-1W
    • 19 Sept 2026vsMiddlesbrough2-2D
    • 12 Sept 2026vsDerby1-2W
    • 09 Sept 2026vsNorwich2-1L
    • 06 Sept 2026vsWolves2-2D
    PosTeamPts
    4Wolverhampton Wanderers14
    5Queens Park Rangers14
    6Birmingham City14
    7West Bromwich Albion14
    8Bristol City14
    9Stoke City13
    Updated daily

    West Bromwich Albion vs Birmingham City: form and season numbers

    West Bromwich Albion take a form score of 4.1 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 5.4 for Birmingham City. West Bromwich Albion have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5, while Birmingham City have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in theirs. Across the season West Bromwich Albion average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game, Birmingham City 1.4 and 1.7. West Bromwich Albion have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, Birmingham City in 20%. In their last 10 meetings West Bromwich Albion have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. West Bromwich Albion sit 7th on 14 points, Birmingham City 6th on 14.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

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