The bottom two sides in the Eredivisie meet on Saturday with identical goal profiles but a significant gap in recent form. Willem II occupy 16th on 0 points from 2 matches, having scored 2 and conceded 8, while Cambuur sit 18th on 0 points from 3 games with 3 scored and 12 conceded. Both sides average exactly 1.00 scored and 4.00 conceded per game, though Willem II's form score of 4.2 out of 10 sits 2.2 points clear of Cambuur's 2.0, the widest gap between any two sides meeting this weekend.

Willem II opened their league campaign with back-to-back 1-4 defeats, losing at home to NEC Nijmegen on 15 August and away to GO Ahead Eagles a week earlier. Across their last 4 matches, including two pre-season friendlies, they have scored in all 4 but managed just 1 clean sheet in that stretch. The 2 wins in that sequence both came in club friendlies, 2-1 at home to OFI and 1-0 against KV Mechelen, and carry limited weight for a side yet to collect a competitive point this term.

Cambuur arrive in even steeper decline, without a win in their last 5 across all competitions and conceding 17 goals in that run. Their Eredivisie account opened with a 0-4 home defeat to Excelsior on 7 August, followed by a 1-3 loss at Fortuna Sittard and a 2-5 home reverse against Feyenoord on 23 August. They have scored in 4 of those 5 matches but failed to keep a single clean sheet, a pattern reflected in their season-wide clean sheet rate of 10 percent from a 5-match sample. With 15.4 shots per game but only 4 on target, Cambuur are creating volume without conversion, and their 1.49 expected goals per game underlines the gap between opportunity and execution.

The head to head record across the last 9 meetings is narrow, with Cambuur holding 3 wins to Willem II's 2 and 4 draws between them. Both sides scored in 6 of those 9, and the average of 2.44 goals per meeting sits well below the combined defensive fragility on show this season. The most recent 5 encounters include Cambuur's 1-0 win at Willem II on 12 December 2025, a 2-2 draw at Cambuur in September 2025, and three further results that all stayed inside 1-1 or 1-0. That historic tightness contrasts sharply with the current reality of two sides conceding 4 per game and shipping double figures before the calendar turns to September. The fixture profile points to goals at both ends, and whichever side finds defensive organisation first will decide whether this basement clash produces a winner or extends the winless runs for both.