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    Championship · kickoff 19:45
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    Wrexham AFC
    Wrexham AFC
    15th in the table
    DDLWD
    We make it
    2-1
    2.5 goals expected
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    9th in the table
    WWDLL

    What we would back

    Powered by Formatic AI
    Match resultValue
    Wrexham AFC Win@ 2.25
    2/10
    Our three-way read is Wrexham AFC 41%, the draw 27%, West Bromwich Albion 32%, so Wrexham AFC are the likeliest single outcome.
    GoalsTop Pick
    Over 1.5 Goals@ 1.33
    8/10
    We make the total 2.5 goals, so Over 1.5 Goals lands 72%. The next line up, Over 2.5, is 46%.
    Double chance
    Wrexham AFC or Draw@ 1.35
    7/10
    Wrexham AFC winning or the draw covers two of the three results, 68% between them. Only West Bromwich Albion winning beats it, at 32%.

    Top Pick is the card that stands out most against what its market usually offers, so it is rarely the shortest price here and not always the best rated. Banker is the shortest price under 1.25, and Value the longest over 1.60. Every one is published before kickoff and settled in public.

    how we see it finishing
    41%
    Wrexham AFC
    27%
    Draw
    32%
    West Bromwich Albion

    Our own numbers, from the goal rates the model fits for each side.

    We expect around 2.5 goalsWe make it 2 - 1

    Our score is the one that fits the goals we expect, so it is not always the biggest percentage above: the single likeliest score is usually a low scoring draw, and even that lands only about 12% of the time. This is the model's working, not a tip. The bets it leads to are above.

    12.25
    X3.34
    23.08

    How this scoreline is calculated

    Wrexham AFC

    Form comparison

    West Bromwich Albion

    4.3
    Form scoreout of 10, last 10 matches
    4.1
    Form score: Wrexham AFC 4.3, West Bromwich Albion 4.1
    1.00
    Goals scoredper game, last 10
    1.20
    Goals scored: Wrexham AFC 1.00, West Bromwich Albion 1.20
    1.40
    Goals concededper game, last 10, lower is better
    1.20
    Goals conceded: Wrexham AFC 1.40, West Bromwich Albion 1.20
    mixed
    Opposition facedlast 10
    mixed

    Where those opponents sat in the table: strong means they averaged roughly the top 40%, weak roughly the bottom 40%, mixed in between.

    Opposition faced: Wrexham AFC mixed, West Bromwich Albion mixed

    The form score weights every result and every goal by where the opponent sat in the table, so five wins over the bottom of the table score below five over the top.

    1/5Wrexham AFC
    Clean Sheetslast 5 games
    West Bromwich Albion2/5
    2/5Wrexham AFC
    Failed to Scorelast 5 games
    West Bromwich Albion2/5
    1.0Wrexham AFC
    Goals For per game
    West Bromwich Albion1.2
    1.4Wrexham AFC
    Goals Against per game
    West Bromwich Albion1.2
    1.4Wrexham AFC
    Yellow Cards per game
    West Bromwich Albion2.1
    0.0Wrexham AFC
    Red Cards per game
    West Bromwich Albion0.2
    0Wrexham AFC
    Win Streakmatches
    West Bromwich Albion0
    Season averages • Wrexham AFC: 10 matches • West Bromwich Albion: 10 matches • Refreshed weekly
    Wrexham AFC
    Wrexham AFC
    Mixed4.3/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    DDLWD
    Over 2.5 goals
    2/5
    BTTS
    3/5
    Clean sheet
    1/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    Mixed4.1/10
    Form score, last 10 matches
    WWDLL
    Over 2.5 goals
    0/5
    BTTS
    1/5
    Clean sheet
    2/5
    Scored in
    3/5
    Last 5 meetings
    0W - 1D - 1L from Wrexham AFC's perspective
    • 03 Apr 2026West Brom2-2Wrexham
    • 16 Aug 2025Wrexham2-3West Brom
    Wrexham AFC
    Wrexham AFC
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsDerby1-1D
    • 19 Sept 2026vsSouthampton2-1W
    • 11 Sept 2026vsWest Ham6-0L
    • 08 Sept 2026vsBurnley1-1D
    • 05 Sept 2026vsSwansea0-0D
    West Bromwich Albion
    West Bromwich Albion
    Last 5 matches
    • 10 Oct 2026vsBirmingham0-1L
    • 20 Sept 2026vsWolves1-0L
    • 12 Sept 2026vsQPR1-1D
    • 09 Sept 2026vsDerby0-1W
    • 05 Sept 2026vsWatford1-0W
    PosTeamPts
    7Birmingham City14
    8Millwall14
    9West Bromwich Albion14
    10Bristol City14
    11Southampton13
    13Blackburn Rovers12
    14Sheffield United12
    15Wrexham AFC11
    16Lincoln City11
    17Bolton10
    Updated daily

    Wrexham AFC vs West Bromwich Albion: form and season numbers

    Wrexham AFC take a form score of 4.3 out of 10 into this Championship fixture, against 4.1 for West Bromwich Albion. Wrexham AFC have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5, while West Bromwich Albion have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in theirs. Across the season Wrexham AFC average 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, West Bromwich Albion 1.2 and 1.2. Wrexham AFC have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their matches this season, West Bromwich Albion in 20%. In their last 2 meetings Wrexham AFC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1. Wrexham AFC sit 15th on 11 points, West Bromwich Albion 9th on 14.

    Form, head-to-head and season statistics are free to read. The model's predictions for this fixture are in the cards above.

    Preview

    Wrexham AFC vs West Bromwich Albion prediction: goals look nailed on again

    Wrexham AFC sit 14th on 10 points from 8 games, and the record of W2 D4 L2 tells a story of a side that cannot quite turn draws into wins, four of those eight fixtures already shared. West Bromwich Albion are 9 places and 4 points better off in 5th, their W4 D2 L2 return built on a +2 goal difference against Wrexham AFC's -3. The table gap is real but not huge, and both sides arrive with form that matches their league position: Wrexham AFC patchy, West Bromwich Albion steady, Formatic's form reading giving a slight edge to the visitors.

    Wrexham AFC's last 10 in all competitions reads W2 D4 L4, with 9 scored and 14 conceded, and a 0-6 defeat away to West Ham on 11 September sits awkwardly alongside a 2-1 home win over Southampton just a week later. That is the pattern: scoring in 6 of 10, but a clean sheet only twice, and 14 goals shipped across those matches suggests a defence that gives opponents chances regularly. The 3-0 away win at Millwall shows there is some attacking threat, but the goalless draw at Swansea and the back to back 1-1 draws against Burnley and Watford point to a side more often cancelled out than cutting loose.

    West Bromwich Albion's underlying numbers are firmer. Across their last 10 they scored 16 and conceded 12, winning 5 and losing 3, and they found the net in 9 of those 10 matches, failing to score in all competitions this season just 10 percent of the time. Results like the 4-1 away win at Rotherham and the 3-1 home win over Burnley show a side capable of putting games away, though the 0-1 defeat at Wolves on 20 September and the 1-1 draw at home to QPR since suggest the recent edge has dulled slightly. Shots on target also favour the visitors, 4.4 per game against Wrexham AFC's 3.4, and their 52 percent average possession points to a team more comfortable controlling matches than their hosts.

    The head to head record offers little comfort to Wrexham AFC, who have never won either of the last two meetings: a 2-2 draw away to West Bromwich Albion in April 2026 and a 2-3 home defeat in August 2025. Both of those matches produced goals at both ends, 4.5 per meeting across the two, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals landing in both games. Given Wrexham AFC's leaky defence, conceding 1.50 per game this season, and West Bromwich Albion's habit of finding the net, this looks set up to continue that trend. West Bromwich Albion head in as the side better placed to control proceedings, but Wrexham AFC's home form and the pattern of this fixture suggest another high scoring, competitive affair rather than a one sided result.

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