AI Over 1.5 Goals Predictions Today
Over 1.5 goals is the safest standalone goals market in football: most matches clear two goals, so the line hits often by construction. In our tracked record the Over 1.5 line is landing at 70.7% (225 settled live picks). We surface Over 1.5 picks when the predicted total is 2 or more goals AND our goals trust score is 7 or higher, meaning we're confident in the prediction and the market price still offers genuine value at the conservative line. If the odds are too short to be profitable, we skip it entirely and flag a different market instead.
Our record on Over 1.5 Goals
70.7%159 of 225 settled
Every pick is published before kickoff and settled in public, wins and losses alike. See the full record.
Today's picks
Frequently asked
- Is Over 1.5 always +EV?
- No. At very short odds (e.g. 1.15), the implied probability already exceeds our model's confidence. The model only flags Over 1.5 when the odds price still leaves room for edge.
- How does Formatic differ on Over 1.5?
- Most tipster sites push Over 1.5 as a 'safe' bet. We only pick it when our score prediction supports it AND the odds offer EV. If 1 goal is the predicted total, we pick Under 2.5 instead.
- What's the win rate on Over 1.5?
- Over 1.5 picks have landed 159 of 225 (70.7%) in our tracked record. Every result is settled in public; see the breakdown at /stats.