Over 1.5 Goals Predictions Today
Over 1.5 goals is the safest standalone goals market in football. Across our 2025/26 dataset of 7,054 matches, the Over 1.5 line hits 72.8% of the time. We surface Over 1.5 picks when the predicted total is 2 or more goals AND our goals trust score is 7 or higher, meaning we're confident in the prediction and the market price still offers genuine value at the conservative line. If the odds are too short to be profitable, we skip it entirely and flag a different market instead.
Today's picks
Loading today's picks…
Frequently asked
- Is Over 1.5 always +EV?
- No. At very short odds (e.g. 1.15), the implied probability already exceeds our model's confidence. The model only flags Over 1.5 when the odds price still leaves room for edge.
- How does Formatic differ on Over 1.5?
- Most tipster sites push Over 1.5 as a 'safe' bet. We only pick it when our score prediction supports it AND the odds offer EV. If 1 goal is the predicted total, we pick Under 2.5 instead.
- What's the win rate on Over 1.5?
- 72.8% across the 2025/26 season (7,054 matches). See breakdown by league at /stats.