AI Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Today
Under 2.5 is the low-scoring goals market: the match has to finish with two goals or fewer. The model is a statistical one: it fits every team's attack and defence ratings from match history, adjusted for the strength of the opponents they faced, and turns them into a grid of scoreline probabilities. A match gets up to three cards (a Match Result, a goals line and a third card that rotates between markets), and every card agrees with the scoreline the model publishes. Under 2.5 is one of the lines the goals card can select, and because it has to agree with the published scoreline it only appears beside a predicted score such as 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 or 2-0. Current engine (v9), since 1 August 2026: Under 2.5 is landing at 51.6% (368 settled picks). Below are today's Under 2.5 selections, each with the model's predicted scoreline and trust rating.
Our record on Under 2.5 Goals
51.6%190 of 368 settled
Current engine (v9), since 1 August 2026. Wins and losses only, pushes excluded. See the full record.
Today's picks
Frequently asked
- When does the model pick Under 2.5?
- When the goals card selects it from the model's scoreline grid. It can only do so beside a predicted scoreline of two goals or fewer, because every card on a match must agree with the published score.
- What's the Under 2.5 hit rate?
- Current engine (v9), since 1 August 2026: Under 2.5 picks have landed 190 of 368 (51.6%) in our tracked record. Every result is settled in public; see the breakdown at /stats.
- What does Under 2.5 goals mean?
- The match has to finish with two goals or fewer in total, counting both teams. A third goal and the pick loses.